Possible scenario
March Proceeds Peacefully
46% Chance
The most likely outcome is that the Palestine Solidarity Campaign march goes ahead under strict Met Police conditions on route, timing, and speeches. Ministers criticize the legal position but avoid an immediate confrontation with police operational independence.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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