Possible scenario
Sustained Democratic Mobilization
34% Chance
The Day 1 midterm record proves to be an early sign of unusually strong Democratic participation in metro Atlanta and its suburbs. Jon Ossoff benefits most directly, while the open governor race remains highly competitive after weeks of stronger Democratic field activity.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.2%
- Healthcare -0.1%
- Utilities +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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