Possible scenario
Republican Early Vote
29% Chance
The record turnout reflects a successful Republican push to bank votes earlier rather than a Democratic surge. GOP campaigns argue that the 188,628 ballots are changing when their voters cast ballots, not necessarily expanding the Democratic electorate.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.2%
- Finance +0.1%
- Healthcare +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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