Possible scenario
Ethics Review Stalls
45% Chance
The most likely path is a slow House Ethics Committee process that does not produce a definitive finding before the 2026 midterms. Boebert denies wrongdoing, frames the complaint as political, and Republican leaders avoid forcing a decision while the panel gathers documents.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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