Possible scenario
AI Selloff Deepens
30% Chance
The unwind extends if hedge funds keep cutting crowded AI winners and systematic strategies reduce exposure after the Nasdaq 100's worst week. A renewed rise in yields or weak AI spending commentary could force another round of selling.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- Bitcoin Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -3.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.9%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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