Possible scenario
Ossoff wins outright
44% Chance
Jon Ossoff’s denial of a 2028 presidential run helps him keep the race focused on Georgia rather than national ambition. Mike Collins remains competitive, but Ossoff’s incumbency, fundraising, and suburban Atlanta strength are enough for a November win.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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