Possible scenario
Charges Move Forward
45% Chance
The most likely path is that prosecutors use the Snapchat invitation, the previously reported texts, witness statements, and digital forensics to bring formal charges against the seven fraternity members. The case remains centered on whether prosecutors can prove coordination and intent beyond the inflammatory language in the messages.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.