Possible scenario
NII Guidance Holds
45% Chance
JPMorgan's $107 billion net interest income outlook proves credible as higher-for-longer rates and loan repricing support revenue. Investors treat the reversal in shares as a sign that the bank has reset expectations after prior caution on 2025 NII.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.5%
Tickers
- JPM+2.8%
- BAC+1.1%
- WFC+0.9%
- C+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.