Possible scenario
Funding Costs Reprice
25% Chance
Investors conclude the headline NII outlook is strong but vulnerable to competition for deposits and wholesale funding costs. This scenario revives the concern that higher rates lift asset yields while also pressuring margins.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.4%
Tickers
- JPM-2.4%
- BAC-0.8%
- WFC-0.7%
- C-0.5%
- GS+0.2%
- +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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