Possible scenario
Rapid Gulf Restart
45% Chance
Isaias weakens or tracks far enough from core Gulf infrastructure that operators complete inspections quickly. The 1.1 million bpd shut-in proves precautionary, with limited damage to Shell, Chevron, and other offshore platforms.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.4%
Tickers
- CVX+0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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