Possible scenario
Power Buildout Response
23% Chance
Federal and state regulators focus on the power bottleneck rather than the AI investment cycle itself. The key market distinction is whether policy accelerates grid expansion or shifts more costs onto data-center users.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- Market volatility Up
- Copper Up
Secondary impacts
- Utilities +0.8%
- Industrials +0.4%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.3%
- Technology
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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