Possible scenario
Backlash Returns
18% Chance
The dinner does not prevent renewed political criticism of Anthropic's leadership and its past warnings about advanced AI risks. White House factions skeptical of 'AI doom' arguments push for limits on the company's federal role.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.7%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- AMZN-1.5%
- PLTR+1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.