Possible scenario
Outflows Resume Quickly
30% Chance
The rebound may prove to be a one-day pause after heavy redemptions earlier in October. If risk appetite weakens again or Bitcoin fails to hold recent levels, advisers and momentum accounts could resume cutting ETF exposure.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.3%
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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