Possible scenario
Courts Enforce GAO
28% Chance
Litigants use the GAO finding to strengthen suits in federal court, arguing that the pocket rescission violates the Impoundment Control Act and prior court orders. Courts are likely to move quickly because the fiscal year-end timing could make the funds unavailable absent judicial relief.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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