Possible scenario
Race Tightens Further
18% Chance
The episode does not decide the contest, but it increases national attention on a race that was already unusually expensive for Texas. Both parties interpret the controversy through the lens of Senate control and escalate outside spending.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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