Possible scenario
Absence Story Fades
45% Chance
James Talarico’s return to the Texas campaign trail, combined with his team’s C-SPAN evidence, blunts Ken Paxton’s attack line. The race returns to familiar ground: fundraising, abortion rights, schools, corruption allegations against Paxton, and turnout in the suburbs.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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