Possible scenario
Hybrid Nvidia Strategy
20% Chance
Tesla, SpaceX and xAI may use Terafab as a partial internal supply source while continuing large Nvidia purchases for frontier training clusters. This scenario is plausible because Musk’s disclosed Nvidia deployment is enormous and internal chips are unlikely to displace the full GPU stack immediately.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.6%
- Telecommunications +0.1%
Tickers
- TSLA+2.4%
- SPCX+1.8%
- NVDA+0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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