Possible scenario
Industry-Wide Expansion
15% Chance
The Meta probe becomes a template for broader enforcement of the Online Safety Act across major platforms used by minors. This scenario is less likely than a Meta-specific resolution, but the UK’s parallel push toward an under-16 social-media ban makes broader scrutiny plausible.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.6%
- Consumer Services -1.2%
Tickers
- SNAP-4.0%
- META-3.7%
- GOOG-1.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.8%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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