Possible scenario
Wiles Consolidates Control
40% Chance
Susie Wiles emerges from the episode with more authority over White House communications, arguing that the failed Fox interview exposed a vetting problem rather than a staff sabotage problem. Trump is likely to prioritize loyalty and message discipline over process complaints, especially after a five-day press secretary tenure became a public embarrassment.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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