Possible scenario
Sanctions And Probes
20% Chance
Testimony from the NPS official points to a mismatch between what the agency told the court and what contractors or Trump-aligned project managers did on the ground. The dispute expands from an environmental case into a government-accountability fight.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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