Possible scenario
Project Resumes Conditionally
25% Chance
NPS and Justice Department lawyers persuade the court that the agency can cure the disputed record without a long shutdown. The project resumes in a constrained form, with additional mitigation and monitoring requirements.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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