Possible scenario
Yields Cap Gold
38% Chance
Gold’s small pullback extends as traders keep pricing additional 2026 Federal Reserve tightening and the dollar remains firm. The move is a consolidation rather than a broad liquidation because China buying and ETF demand still provide support.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials -0.3%
Tickers
- NGT-0.5%
- -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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