Possible scenario
ETF Flows Cool
20% Chance
After a strong run to $4,200, short-term investors may take profits in gold-backed funds. This would pressure bullion and miners without creating a major cross-asset shock.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials -0.6%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- -1.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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