Possible scenario
Ceremonial Summit Close
45% Chance
The National Archives event remains largely symbolic, closing the three-day summit without a fresh policy rupture. The prior trade-truce extension to 2027 stays the main substantive result, and markets treat the visit as a managed diplomatic success.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.4%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.3%
Tickers
- +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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