Possible scenario
Archives Optics Backfire
20% Chance
The visit's location becomes the dominant domestic story because of Trump's history with classified documents at Mar-a-Lago. The fallout is mostly institutional and political, involving the National Archives, congressional oversight, and White House vetting procedures.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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