Possible scenario
Security policy response
40% Chance
The most likely path is a visible federal and state response focused on schools, firearms controls, and crisis protocols. The rescue of 13 children gives authorities political room to frame the incident as proof that tighter weapons oversight and school defenses remain necessary.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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