Possible scenario
Georgia Reopens Late
15% Chance
Although Ossoff is currently the overwhelming favorite, a late polling shift or outside-spending surge could persuade Republican donors that Georgia is not fully lost. In this scenario, the SLF’s South Carolina move is either partially reversed or supplemented by other GOP groups trying to help Mike Collins.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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