Possible scenario
Regulatory Delay Persists
28% Chance
Reliance's denial does not end the dispute, and Indian regulators continue requesting clarifications from SpaceX on security, pricing, and spectrum-use terms. This scenario preserves incumbent advantage while avoiding an explicit rejection of Starlink.
Secondary impacts
- Telecommunications -0.5%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- SPCX-2.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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