Possible scenario
Demand Miss Confirmed
40% Chance
Loop Capital's downgrade is followed by additional evidence that the iPhone 18 Pro cycle is underperforming, consistent with earlier order cuts and Jefferies' warning. Investors begin pricing a weaker December quarter and a lower upgrade-rate assumption for fiscal 2027.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.6%
Tickers
- AAPL-5.5%
- QCOM-0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.6%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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