Possible scenario
Washington Scrutiny Escalates
20% Chance
The issue could broaden from one congressman's demand into a more formal congressional inquiry. That would not be a macro event, but it would increase regulatory and reputational risk for Starbucks and create a modest read-through for U.S. consumer brands operating in politically sensitive parts of China.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.5%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Tickers
- SBUX-3.2%
- YUMC-0.7%
- MCD-0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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