Possible scenario
Texas Becomes Competitive
18% Chance
The late $10 million infusion helps Texas Democrats buy enough television and digital inventory to make the race visibly closer. Abbott remains favored, but the contest becomes a late-cycle national focus because of Texas’s size and his high spending level.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.3%
- Utilities -0.2%
- Healthcare +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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