Possible scenario
GOP Holds Both
42% Chance
The Democratic Governors Association narrows the advertising imbalance but does not fundamentally change the races. Greg Abbott’s large Texas cash advantage and the GOP’s structural edge in both states keep Republicans favored through the final stretch.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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