Possible scenario
Regulator Clarifies Process
20% Chance
The Capital Markets Board of Turkey and the liquidation board publish clearer rules on custody, valuation and beneficial-owner protections. That would reduce the chance that foreign institutional investors are treated as suspects rather than holders of affected securities.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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