Possible scenario
Nomination Delayed
28% Chance
Blackburn maintains the hold long enough to delay the nomination for several weeks, while Senate leadership tries to preserve floor time for higher-priority Trump nominees. The fight remains contained inside Republican politics and does not materially affect markets.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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