Possible scenario
Qualification Ramp Succeeds
45% Chance
Anduril’s early Virginia-class asset production passes Navy qualification and becomes a credible additive source of submarine industrial capacity. This is the most likely path because the company is starting with seeded production tied to a newly financed yard rather than immediately displacing Electric Boat or Newport News.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.9%
- Technology +0.4%
Tickers
- GD+1.2%
- HII+1.2%
- BWXT+1.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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