Possible scenario
Incumbent Partnership Model
25% Chance
The program evolves into a partnership structure in which Anduril supplies production assets, digital manufacturing systems, or unmanned undersea technology rather than taking core submarine construction away from incumbents. This outcome fits the Navy’s need for capacity without destabilizing certified nuclear-submarine builders.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.5%
- Technology +0.3%
Tickers
- GD+1.0%
- HII+1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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