Possible scenario
Prolonged Certification Setback
30% Chance
The FAA concludes the software glitch is linked to broader systems-integration and pilot-alerting validation issues. Certification moves meaningfully beyond current expectations, threatening Boeing's delivery schedule and customer planning.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -1.3%
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Tickers
- BA-8.0%
- UAL-1.6%
- DAL-1.3%
- GE-0.8%
- +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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