Possible scenario
Contained Software Delay
45% Chance
The FAA delay remains focused on a discrete software glitch rather than a new structural or cockpit-alerting deficiency. Boeing submits revised code and validation data, keeping certification delayed by months rather than years.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.1%
Tickers
- BA+1.1%
- GE+0.5%
- DAL-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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