Possible scenario
Courts Slow DHS
25% Chance
Major employers, universities, and trade groups challenge the policy under the Administrative Procedure Act. Courts do not necessarily reject all H-1B tightening, but they may find that DHS changed a settled reliance policy without adequate process or explanation.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +1.4%
- Technology +1.0%
- Healthcare +0.2%
Tickers
- CTSH+2.2%
- MSFT+0.6%
- AMZN+0.5%
- +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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