Possible scenario
Court Challenges Accelerate
20% Chance
The delistings encourage other Russian business figures to challenge EU sanctions in court, arguing that the evidence base is outdated or politically broad. The sanctions regime survives, but legal risk rises around individual designations and asset freezes.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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