Possible scenario
Ban Risk Returns
20% Chance
Congressional critics and security agencies argue the retained ByteDance ties undercut the legal basis for allowing TikTok US to keep operating. App-store removal threats and renewed litigation become credible again, though a total shutdown is still not the base case.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.7%
- Consumer Services -0.6%
Tickers
- SNAP+1.5%
- META+1.4%
- AAPL-0.2%
- ORCL+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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