Possible scenario
Result Is Contested
10% Chance
The race finishes inside recount territory, leaving the winner uncertain for days or weeks. Both campaigns focus on absentee cure processes, affidavit ballots, and county-level canvassing before certification.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.