Possible scenario
Conley Flips District
42% Chance
Cait Conley overcomes the internal-poll deficit as Democratic turnout improves and undecided voters consolidate against the Republican incumbent. The race becomes one of the cycle's notable Democratic pickup opportunities in New York.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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