Possible scenario
China Absorbs Barrels
27% Chance
China increases purchases of Russian crude to cover energy needs and exploit wider discounts after Indian demand softens. This rerouting is plausible because Russia already offered to cover China’s shortfall, and Chinese state refiners have capacity to process discounted grades.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Tickers
- FRO+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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