Possible scenario
Rapid Operational Restart
45% Chance
The administration moves quickly after the Supreme Court authorization, using the newly announced 35-country framework to restart removals of migrants whose home countries will not accept them. DHS prioritizes individuals with final removal orders and criminal records to reduce legal and political blowback.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.3%
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Tickers
- GEO+4.1%
- CXW+3.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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