Hamilton Holds Edge
−0.1%
Adam Hamilton’s early October advantage proves durable as he maintains his distance from national Democrats and keeps the race focused on Roger Marshall’s vulnerabilities. Kansas’ history of split-ticket voting and the 2022 abortion vote give Hamilton a credible path to a narrow upset.
What it moves
- Energy−0.4%
- Healthcare+0.3%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.