Possible scenario
Technical Issues Emerge
20% Chance
Early inspections or systems testing at Faslane identify issues requiring contractor rectification. This would not be unusual for a complex nuclear-powered submarine, but it could revive scrutiny of the long Astute-class build cycle.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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