Possible scenario
OCC Authority Upheld
30% Chance
The OCC persuades the court that national trust charters fall within its long-standing authority. This would preserve the path opened by Erebor and Bastion and improve the outlook for Circle, Ripple, and other digital-asset firms seeking federal oversight.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.3%
- Finance +0.2%
Tickers
- CRCL+3.1%
- +1.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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