Possible scenario
Republican Baseline Holds
48% Chance
Cindy Hyde-Smith remains the clear favorite because Mississippi's federal electorate is deeply Republican and national polarization limits crossover voting. Barack Obama's endorsement improves Scott Colom's visibility and fundraising, but it does not fundamentally change the partisan math.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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