Possible scenario
Race Becomes Competitive
26% Chance
The endorsement helps Colom turn a long-shot campaign into a late-cycle battleground, especially if Democratic turnout models improve among Black voters and younger voters. Hyde-Smith remains favored, but outside groups treat the race as worth testing.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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